India Assembly Elections 2026: Exit Poll Trends Indicate Major Political Shifts

Date: May 4, 2026

West Bengal Election 2026

• BJP Crosses 200 Seats: Exit poll trends suggest that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is set to win over 200 seats in West Bengal, potentially ending Mamata Banerjee’s 15-year rule.
• TMC Decline: The Trinamool Congress (TMC) appears to be losing significant ground, with projections placing it below 100 seats.
• Suvendu Adhikari's Big Win: Suvendu Adhikari is projected to win from Nandigram and has reportedly defeated Mamata Banerjee in the Bhabanipur constituency.

Tamil Nadu Election 2026

• Superstar Vijay's Impact: Actor Thalapathy Vijay’s party, Tamilaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK), is making a remarkable debut by winning around 107–108 seats.
• Dravidian Politics Challenged: TVK’s performance is seen as a major disruption to the long-standing dominance of DMK and AIADMK.
• Hung Assembly: While TVK is close to the majority mark of 118 seats, it may need coalition partners to form the government.

Assam and Other States

• BJP Alliance Retains Power: In Assam, the BJP-led alliance is projected to secure a majority once again.
• Third Term for Himanta Biswa Sarma: Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma is likely to return to power for a third consecutive term.