The economy will improve in the new year 2025
- Dr. Jayantilal Bhandari
Certainly, according to various reports published by
global economic and financial organizations on the economic prospects of the
new year 2025, the new year 2025 will be a year of bright economic prospects
for India. In the new year, the Indian economy will move forward by
successfully facing the economic and financial challenges faced in the last
year 2024 and will be highlighted as the fastest growing economy of the world .
If we look at the economic legacy that the new year 2025
will inherit from the past year 2024, we find that while this legacy has many
challenges, it also has many strong economic foundations for development.
Although the year 2024 started with a growth rate of 8 percent, many economic
calculations went awry due to a mere 5.4 percent growth rate in the
July-September quarter of last year. Inflation and employment have been the
main worrying issues on India's economic scenario in the past year. Difficulties
on the inflation front persisted in almost most months. Especially after
November 2024, wholesale and retail inflation started rising once again and
inflation remained outside the prescribed range of the Reserve Bank. Although
urban unemployment decreased in the past year, employment opportunities in the
unorganized sector decreased. Foreign trade deficit also increased in the past year. In the past year, the rupee kept falling throughout the year. The value of the rupee
kept falling against the dollar throughout the year and in December 2024, the
rupee fell to a level below 85 against the dollar . In the year 2024, the
country's foreign exchange reserves also sometimes decreased and sometimes
increased. In December 2024, the foreign exchange reserves declined to around
$652 billion .
Certainly, the new year 2025 has got a solid basis for
economic development from the previous year. Economists are unanimously optimistic
about business and financial growth . and they indicate developmental We are
presenting a strong balance sheet of the country . It is being said that
agriculture, Mining , manufacturing and
industrial production will gain momentum. New bilateral trade talks and new
free trade agreements (FTAs) will be seen taking shape. Especially cement,
electricity, hotels, transport, automobile , pharma , chemical , food processing , textile
, There will be rapid development in the fields of e- commerce , banking , marketing , data analysis , cyber security , IT , tourism , retail trade , etc. This will increase employment
and self-employment opportunities . In the new year 2025, Sensex and Nifty will
be seen reaching new heights. Along with this, new heights will also be seen in
the prices of gold and silver.
It is worth noting that in the new year 2025 , the
strength of the local and domestic market will be beneficial for the economy.
In the last 10 years, the country has progressed rapidly with the policy of
self-reliance and the mantra of Vocal for Local , which will benefit the economy in the new year. The
country will benefit more in this. Deloitte India's India Home and Household
Market Report states that India's domestic market will grow at a compound
annual growth rate (CAGR) of more than 10 percent and at this fast pace,
India's domestic market can reach a height of about $ 237 billion by the year
2030. Certainly, the power of the Make in India campaign will increase in every
corner of the country in the new year . Along with this, India will also emerge
as the third largest manufacturing destination in the world with the highest
demand . The Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme implemented to create
alternatives to medicines , chemicals and other raw materials imported from China in
the country will show more good results .
Undoubtedly, agriculture and rural economy will get a
boost in the new year 2025. An unprecedented campaign of agricultural
development ,
encouraging
innovation in farming , increasing
production as well as farmers' income while reducing costs will be seen moving
forward in the country. There is no doubt that the better monsoon that the
government has
inherited from
the last year will lead to the growth of the rural economy in the new year ,
consumption will also increase in rural areas . The agriculture sector in the
country will progress rapidly . It is known that the crop year 2023-24 Food grain
production in India reached a record 32.22 lakh tonnes in 2015-16 reached the level of crore
tonnes . There has been higher production of wheat and rice in the year
2023-24. The record production of wheat reached 1132.92 lakh tonnes and the
production of rice reached 1378.25 lakh tonnes. It is estimated that with the
new agricultural development strategy of the government, food grain production
will reach record levels in the new year.
< p> It is clearly visible
that there will be a sharp increase in tax collection in India in the new year
2025. Goods and Services Tax ( GST) will improve business and industry Collection will increase. In the current financial year
2024-25, between April and November 2024, GST collection has increased by 9
percent to Rs 14.56 lakh crore as compared to this period last year. Similarly,
in the current financial year 2024-25, the scenario of more income tax returns
and more income tax collection than the previous year is emerging. 7.28 Income
Tax returns were filed for the current financial year 2024-25. There is no
doubt that in the new year, due to the growing industry-business , service sector , stock market and new
heights of purchasing power of the middle class under the world's fastest
growing Indian economy, there will be a sharp increase in tax collection in the
country . In fact, a sharp increase in tax collection will increase the
government's ability to improve infrastructure , social services and quality of life . The increasing tax
revenue in the hands of the government will help in the reconstruction of the
economy . It is also important that the possibility of export and foreign
investment will increase in the new year. With the financial control policies
of the government, India will be seen to be successful in controlling the
fiscal deficit in the new year 2025 .
We hope that after Trump becomes the President of America
in January 2025, the possibility of heavy trade sanctions on China by the US
will increase the possibility of India becoming a new global supplier country. The
path of the Indian stock market will not be difficult in the new year , domestic funds will play
an important role in taking the stock market to the highest height and corporate
income will get a boost . We hope that in the new year 2025 , the country's
economy will be strengthened by the strategic efforts of the government for economic
and financial reforms, agricultural reforms , Make in India , increasing exports and increasing the income of rural
areas . We hope that in the new year, India's growth rate will be at the level
of 7 percent and India, which is currently the fifth largest economy in the
world , will move rapidly on the path of becoming the third largest economy in
the new year 2025 and such rapid economic development will also bring an
economic smile on the face of the common man of the country in the new year.
( The author is a renowned economist Are.)
Dr. Jayantilal
Bhandari- 111, Gumasta Nagar , Indore- 9 Phone ( 0731 2482060, 2480090 )
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